Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #41055

Wycombe VS Bristol Rovers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.91%
Draw
17.78%
Away
19.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2065
Log loss
0.4635

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
SHA-256
74e2678d712045610c63c1a79ec6e6865975c3ccec77e055a4c98c910930dc94

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →