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Frozen pre-match forecast · #39414

Uherský Brod VS Havířov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.45%
Draw
25.69%
Away
20.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8814
Log loss
1.3591

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
SHA-256
a9cfee39191ae3e31ef2c649f34c1bf679060bb85469e9bc6c738ed6749f799e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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