Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #37751

Segesta Sisak VS Karlovac 1919

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.05%
Draw
20.35%
Away
14.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0789
Log loss
1.5920

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
f6303b8a7e7302831884c80e6809b8f2d707e42aed96ce4c7a5b72be07795c58

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →