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Frozen pre-match forecast · #35027

Horní Ředice VS Teplice II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.86%
Draw
23.63%
Away
51.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8858
Log loss
1.3919

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
32453cf0026f5ed66654104584a041c04d83c2670b3064e23296939132e6cc44

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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