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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33155

Poland U17 VS Czech Republic U17

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.66%
Draw
21.64%
Away
24.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3226
Log loss
0.6225

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
819d17193a20275a5eb7f477796677176039c4345d4062166bf10682e44af356

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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