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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32956

Real Tomayapo VS Real Oruro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.54%
Draw
22.10%
Away
28.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3839
Log loss
0.7024

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
SHA-256
c93e91716090588827f708e72bc411bdc4e1e3dd16bdc365fa46b7aacc3a1a70

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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