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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32893

Taguatinga EC VS Planaltina DF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.48%
Draw
21.66%
Away
26.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8469
Log loss
1.3145

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
be005a398754976aba8ecf52ac1ccae72d80696886be5c3d7dd68b5064615c2d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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