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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32736

Scafatese VS Team Altamura

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.47%
Draw
25.30%
Away
18.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2867
Log loss
0.5715

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
7c3f30f61c22416e97385d87326cb812081d58a612b5f4c062dbed6d64479c36

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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