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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32055

Oman VS Saudi Arabia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.15%
Draw
25.48%
Away
30.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7447
Log loss
1.1917

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
cb6c25854031ab4499e53046c204a4556fbcf329c0610ce53c57cfe5697d70f6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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