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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32014

Stade Verviers VS Ostiches

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.09%
Draw
23.93%
Away
26.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8924
Log loss
1.4300

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
999293d28831fcdb5a57ed442ac460c99d01ca24a1221955849204fd42bf8920

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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