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Frozen pre-match forecast · #31538

Fach-Donaufeld VS Gloggnitz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.68%
Draw
22.44%
Away
29.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4133
Log loss
0.7406

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
64e6187347dcde2114f9133944671eccac9ad4afc9d5a722fe7868a7e0a21962

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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