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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30963

Wolfsberg VS Bleiburg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.82%
Draw
22.72%
Away
41.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6354
Log loss
1.0267

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
1f43a745bed297ba8d4eb782e87495be406d898efa416656bb75ce437fd7f0ce

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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