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Frozen pre-match forecast · #30253

Wycombe VS Bristol Rovers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.96%
Draw
17.55%
Away
26.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2949
Log loss
0.5805

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
b148c1bfa83dd2fb912da614a53b3e625458adae8a1928ce22a08846be9d6959

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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