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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29755

Scafatese VS Team Altamura

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.64%
Draw
43.60%
Away
13.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5380
Log loss
0.8524

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
SHA-256
dd1f6a3a631d1ab993b739e7272c51dac723d99a4bb3fef3c6f0ba911889ecc8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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