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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29027

Roosendaal VS Vvsb

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.26%
Draw
23.82%
Away
35.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5427
Log loss
0.9098

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
5509970f90cfd5f0a04710a251fd0ee471236fba2994ab9a303b547bc8dcd0e6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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