Frozen pre-match forecast · #28795
Plymouth Parkway VS Bath City
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 22 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 46.85%
- Draw
- 23.78%
- Away
- 29.37%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.7749
- Log loss
- 1.2252
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 22 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
- SHA-256
- 35ed90c00762063c6b183db1dbbbb3b7f5688b5ba307842f9f6f102d2b5162ae
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.