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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27983

Wolfsberg VS Bleiburg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.87%
Draw
35.55%
Away
34.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7378
Log loss
1.2083

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
b5768f2d2c6638d73f0620375e241de1d16633f5a2d619614b4d0db76b476a32

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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