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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27555

ACV VS Hoogeveen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.49%
Draw
18.69%
Away
22.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2593
Log loss
0.5363

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
121141cb785c25b68fd9f19fc47217dd684ea856661f4c04964182f127bdd942

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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