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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26097

Girona II VS Osasuna II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.48%
Draw
26.38%
Away
32.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5153
Log loss
0.8800

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
ddf236d94229012e74fc9cd6d3d7c4ca77816c6dc2db4823d47c3d4f5590a2a8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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