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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25707

Albacete II VS Atlético Paso

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.97%
Draw
43.93%
Away
13.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5162
Log loss
0.8225

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
1298063703c4faa926db3c9f447a7c6b8b4e0f9d01df80dfa46619cfc2b584f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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