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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22891

Forfar Athletic VS Dundee United II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.69%
Draw
17.74%
Away
16.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1766
Log loss
0.4202

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
fef01fba9519e527ffe9121c00036369101b828f18720283761ddf3d8b134215

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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