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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22367

Chrudim VS Pardubice II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.10%
Draw
20.91%
Away
40.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5371
Log loss
0.8918

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
f0d870de3ac88cf50ec717bbd8b5ed8d769ed9085a718a305a21c561bb915a1d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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