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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22223

Wolfsberg VS Bleiburg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.33%
Draw
35.32%
Away
34.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7281
Log loss
1.1930

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
04a45e7a60de8d89e5e1cd4d75c3f9e4b6fbe5157aa427c65cbc1fff5c9a771b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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