Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #221064

AC Milan VS Inter

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.26%
Draw
24.16%
Away
47.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7994
Log loss
1.2637

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
7d99c118de8ca56b8dca62398a955c75d40840fac8e5cc9c4ac701869b1d2b35

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →