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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20712

Rayong FC VS Ratchaburi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.38%
Draw
26.47%
Away
44.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8219
Log loss
1.3292

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
180d02e74510b9069f4cad93cbad61901013e2168e011c97b3c7cc019ace52db

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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