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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20606

Como U20 VS Bologna U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.82%
Draw
40.78%
Away
19.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9745
Log loss
1.6399

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
7c056d2693fe90c35beb0b9e01c67776f62419a26440a986dc4452368604fcfe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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