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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19812

Elgin City VS Clyde

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:05 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.76%
Draw
32.86%
Away
36.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7197
Log loss
1.1790

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:05 UTC
SHA-256
3077cced3af750c166239632800f608db977200577d55778c73edcc02015fc05

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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