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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19262

Romania U19 VS Hungary U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 06:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.40%
Draw
29.55%
Away
32.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6965
Log loss
1.1379

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 06:04 UTC
SHA-256
a896de3d13b58e87371be2e01003362b46de6e0ab6c75993a875b85740669bd4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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