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Frozen pre-match forecast · #177121

EB / Streymur II VS Hoyvík

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.27%
Draw
22.65%
Away
43.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4928
Log loss
0.8422

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
22 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
12008c6746ac8c8ea0ffb9ee12c01c61294c9efee9d83e91653b797d2f0a83d7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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