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Frozen pre-match forecast · #17027

Al Zulfi VS Al-Raed

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.21%
Draw
37.13%
Away
26.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6159
Log loss
1.0158

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
a0a81d6581f34e466f546b29534465e665f1cc6956a3ca620cea7cc6d8c227cb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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