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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16836

Eleven Wonders VS Mighty Royals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.71%
Draw
29.80%
Away
36.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7395
Log loss
1.2106

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
570767957dba9f7cd2fb4962d0370168446810852ffaed2d6bc38bc4f66eac4e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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