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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16704

Yantra Polski Trambesh VS Partizan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:20 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.94%
Draw
31.85%
Away
36.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6976
Log loss
1.1441

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:20 UTC
SHA-256
0e9ca8dae63c2744472aac7882e3ec585eb6d939a550f37792444d911edbdb41

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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