Frozen pre-match forecast · #163991
Goa VS Al Qadsia
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 19 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 23 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 20.41%
- Draw
- 24.85%
- Away
- 54.75%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3082
- Log loss
- 0.6025
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 19 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
- SHA-256
- 88d830b79d8042d0e2c517c4c225049cd181c3e9df610ec6d9212be547180643
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.