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Frozen pre-match forecast · #155649

Dunkerque VS Metz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.97%
Draw
26.26%
Away
34.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
a357514fde80ef1c2463ba8da0290775cf17bf7299fb1e47eb7728abe0b33fdc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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