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Frozen pre-match forecast · #153292

Hapoel Haifa VS Hapoel Ramat Gan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.04%
Draw
22.76%
Away
23.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9338
Log loss
1.4613

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
528af45f1f9a9ae5d7ce5b70808224b2bca4b8bca25a315f47cf608f2cd7215d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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