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Frozen pre-match forecast · #148651

Hapoel Haifa VS Hapoel Ramat Gan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.92%
Draw
22.84%
Away
23.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9321
Log loss
1.4593

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
83e61dde2455db096f776b600eff4acee4df41c76d40863ce9241197a7388a8b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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