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Frozen pre-match forecast · #147741

Inter Bratislava VS Šamorín

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.11%
Draw
25.07%
Away
34.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8436
Log loss
1.3835

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
02ca398e38461d9e4e7c205af3520909a3e544eff231f1f26c3375d5afc36d12

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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