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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14754

ACV VS Hoogeveen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:09 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.20%
Draw
28.23%
Away
48.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9054
Log loss
1.4610

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:09 UTC
SHA-256
88d758117078f2a39dbe1a7ca35af40e46e5e4f00cce4fc86fb87e93c2795ee4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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