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Frozen pre-match forecast · #143303

Inter Bratislava VS Šamorín

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.43%
Draw
23.40%
Away
23.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9259
Log loss
1.4524

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
77624a535ff8eaba24217ccc9aa5f622032c71ac89a0c04d7558a5673a9af0f6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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