Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #12963

Diosgyori VTK VS Gyirmot SE

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.64%
Draw
29.11%
Away
34.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6035
Log loss
1.0040

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
SHA-256
7d09746b2c606aeb8eaf32e8b3f5c7584187347c7a1f1953ca92d5e56780d10e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →