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Frozen pre-match forecast · #120971

Pardubice U19 VS Baník Ostrava U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.41%
Draw
21.03%
Away
41.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5257
Log loss
0.8780

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
d19f8508e3dfccea88a50d6f6806a431708c64ba0fbe383243c4a1719bba51e1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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