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Frozen pre-match forecast · #118214

Levski Sofia II VS FK Minyor Pernik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.28%
Draw
26.51%
Away
48.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4023
Log loss
0.7295

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
6da7f52f3a0f83fd13bdeec47242a3d07e7c74612641171066d00a94f7d549f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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