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Frozen pre-match forecast · #116183

Laholm VS Tvååker

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.54%
Draw
23.73%
Away
32.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8784
Log loss
1.4384

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
fc6f6a7381eb596708a8c797558c861f6580d2892584b08163f1afc4274d7342

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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