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Frozen pre-match forecast · #113877

Frem VS Næsby

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.22%
Draw
23.59%
Away
46.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7559
Log loss
1.1967

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
6649d41b10b9f66cbd8d4ed9e7061eb29443e70c6e33df5d3db154ffc7bbd07c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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