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Frozen pre-match forecast · #113227

Zamalek SC VS Masr

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.96%
Draw
21.11%
Away
64.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1870
Log loss
0.4319

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
07 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
391dcb1e830c024fd389c0764d59d148d6ad5e136b32ea77bfe28028c21c8677

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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