Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #101470

Zamalek SC VS Masr

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.01%
Draw
28.22%
Away
24.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8666
Log loss
1.3955

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
1ef1a61797bdef6ddff346475603f1b8744d0ec2b37cad52efbd85155c0581a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →