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Frozen pre-match forecast · #10087

Dos Hermanas VS Linense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.98%
Draw
33.45%
Away
24.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5089
Log loss
0.8680

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
SHA-256
74d1aaf672f3f8b8009c0e79982d1c34cd358ceeee295cc44826a7f7a07c8851

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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