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Toluca VS Tigres UANL

Toluca logo

Toluca

Helinho 40'
Paulinho 52'
2-1
Penalties 9-8
Penalties
Tigres UANL logo

Tigres UANL

F. Gorriaran 14'
Estadio Nemesio Díez Sunday, Dec 14, 2025 At 20:00 Est Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico

Predicted Outcome

Home 50.10%

Prediction

Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Outcome probability

Home
50.10%
Draw
22.96%
Away
26.95%

Model expected goals

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Goal probabilities

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Recent Form

All competitions · Earlier completed matches, with a four-hour cutoff buffer. Scores include extra time where played; penalty shootouts are excluded.

Head to Head

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See every moment of this match

Goals, cards and substitutions minute by minute are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
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Events

Team form (last 5)

Toluca Toluca L W L D W
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL W D D W L

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See the confirmed line-ups

Confirmed line-ups, formations and the bench are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
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Starting XI

Formation

Substitutes

Team form (last 5)

Toluca Toluca L W L D W
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL W D D W L

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See the full match statistics

Shots, possession, passing and the full match stats are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
  • Track your favourites Follow your teams and competitions and get new insights for them.
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Match Statistics

Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Passes
Corners
Fouls

Team form (last 5)

Toluca Toluca L W L D W
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL W D D W L

Members only

Get the full match analysis

The full model analysis, probabilities and market values are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
  • Track your favourites Follow your teams and competitions and get new insights for them.
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Match probability

Home

Draw

Away

Expected goals (xG)

Home

Away

Shot locations

Team form (last 5)

Toluca Toluca L W L D W
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL W D D W L

League Position

Season 2025 · Latest available table, not the standings at kickoff.

Toluca Toluca 30 Points 5
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 25 Points 7

Quick Links

Match information

Competition
Liga MX
Round
Final
Date
December 14, 2025
Time
20:00
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Díez
City
Toluca de Lerdo
Capacity
30,000
Surface
Natural grass
Weather (forecast)
7°C, Cloudy

Frequently Asked Questions about Toluca vs Tigres UANL

Find the answers to the most common questions here.

The match will be played at Estadio Nemesio Díez in Toluca de Lerdo..

This match is part of the Liga MX (2025 season, Final).

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