Toluca VS Tigres UANL
3-4
Full Time
Recent Form
Toluca
L
W
D
L
?
Head to Head
May 30, 2026
Toluca
VS
Tigres UANL
PEN
Toluca
VS
Tigres UANL
CONCACAF Champions League
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2026
Jan 17, 2026
Tigres UANL
VS
Toluca
0 - 0
Tigres UANL
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
2025
Dec 14, 2025
Toluca
VS
Tigres UANL
PEN
Toluca
VS
Tigres UANL
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Dec 11, 2025
Tigres UANL
VS
Toluca
1 - 0
Tigres UANL
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
2025
Jul 26, 2025
Toluca
VS
Tigres UANL
3 - 4
Toluca
VS
Tigres UANL
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Match Events
Toluca
Tigres UANL
11'
⚽
11'
⚽
Paulinho
Assist: Helinho
21'
⚽
F. Pereira
Own Goal
30'
Yellow Card
30'
J. Brunetta
Yellow Card
31'
Yellow Card
35'
⚽
O. Herrera
36'
⚽
O. Herrera
40'
Yellow Card
40'
E. del Villar
Yellow Card
45'+1
⚽
45'+1
⚽
N. Ibanez
Assist: J. Aquino
46'
⇄
E. del Villar
On: E. del Villar
Off: Bruno Mendez
Substitution
46'
⇄
H. Herrera
On: H. Herrera
Off: M. Ruiz
Substitution
46'
⇄
M. Isais
On: M. Isais
Off: J. Gallardo
Substitution
46'
⇄
E. del Villar
On: E. del Villar
Off: Bruno Mendez
Substitution
46'
⇄
H. Herrera
On: H. Herrera
Off: M. Ruiz
Substitution
46'
⇄
H. Herrera
On: H. Herrera
Off: M. Ruiz
Substitution
46'
⇄
M. Isais
On: M. Isais
Off: J. Gallardo
Substitution
58'
⚽
N. Ibanez
Assist: D. Lainez
65'
⇄
N. Castro
On: N. Castro
Off: A. Vega
Substitution
65'
⇄
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
On: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
Off: O. Virgen
Substitution
65'
⇄
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
On: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
Off: O. Virgen
Substitution
65'
⇄
N. Castro
On: N. Castro
Off: A. Vega
Substitution
66'
⇄
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
On: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
Off: O. Virgen
Substitution
67'
⇄
J. Aquino
On: J. Aquino
Off: V. Lorona
Substitution
73'
Yellow Card
73'
J. Gallardo
Yellow Card
76'
⇄
D. Lainez
On: D. Lainez
Off: Joaquim
Substitution
76'
⇄
J. Garza
On: J. Garza
Off: O. Rodriguez
Substitution
80'
V. Lorona
Yellow Card
80'
Helinho
Yellow Card
81'
Yellow Card
81'
Helinho
Yellow Card
81'
Yellow Card
82'
⇄
O. Herrera
On: O. Herrera
Off: J. Vigon
Substitution
82'
⇄
J. Brunetta
On: J. Brunetta
Off: S. Cordova
Substitution
84'
⇄
J. Brunetta
On: J. Brunetta
Off: S. Cordova
Substitution
88'
⚽
J. Gallardo
Assist: A. Vega
90'+3
Yellow Card
90'+3
⚽
M. Ruiz
Assist: A. Vega
90'+3
O. Virgen
Yellow Card
90'+6
F. Romero
Yellow Card
90'+7
Yellow Card
90'+7
Bruno Mendez
Yellow Card
Lineups
Toluca
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
G
M
D
F
M
Helinho
#11
Héctor Herrera
#16
D
Everardo López
#25
Paulinho
#26
Sebastián Aceves
#184
Substitutes
Tigres UANL
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
G
D
Ángel Correa
#7
M
F
Juan Brunetta
#11
Jesus Garza
#14
Diego Lainez
#16
Javier Aquino
#20
Rômulo Zwarg
#23
Ozziel Herrera
#77
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Toluca
Tigres UANL
54%
Possession
46%
16
Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Blocked Shots
3
14
Fouls
7
7
Corners
0
6
Yellow Cards
2
3
Offsides
1
2
Saves
3
437
Passes
385
365
Accurate Passes
304
84%
Pass Accuracy
79%
Team Comparison
61.8
Overall Strength
55.3
62%
Attacking Power
38%
45.9%
Defensive Strength
54.1%
53.3%
Current Form
46.7%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
33%
|
35%
Avg Total Goals
3.2
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
Toluca
1.8/Game
73
4
0-15'
4
16-30'
8
31-45'
17
46-60'
18
61-75'
13
76-90'
17
Tigres UANL
1.6/Game
60
3
0-15'
2
16-30'
7
31-45'
14
46-60'
14
61-75'
10
76-90'
16
Season Comparison
2024/2025
Toluca
24W 11D 0L
|
89:47
|
1.98 ppg
Tigres UANL
20W 11D 0L
|
52:38
|
1.78 ppg
2023/2024
Toluca
14W 12D 0L
|
61:43
|
1.5 ppg
Tigres UANL
19W 14D 0L
|
76:51
|
1.69 ppg
2022/2023
Toluca
21W 12D 0L
|
79:61
|
1.74 ppg
Tigres UANL
22W 9D 0L
|
59:40
|
1.7 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
36.0%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Toluca
31.5%
Draw
36.0%
Tigres UANL
32.5%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
50.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | N/A |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 86.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | N/A |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 67.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 65.4% | Good | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 64.4% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 64.3% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals After 80' | No | 59.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 49.0% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Draw | 36.0% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 13.3% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.2%
HT Draw
49.0%
HT Away Win
21.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
40.3%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
32.5%
Over 11 Corners
13.7%
Home Most Corners
64.4%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
64.3%
Home More Shots
65.4%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
8.3
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Toluca
30 Points
5
Tigres UANL
25 Points
7