Newcastle VS Brighton
Recent Form
Head to Head
May 2, 2026
Newcastle
VS
Brighton
3 - 1
Newcastle
VS
Brighton
Premier League
St. James' Park
2025
Oct 18, 2025
Brighton
VS
Newcastle
2 - 1
Brighton
VS
Newcastle
Premier League
The American Express Community Stadium
2025
May 4, 2025
Brighton
VS
Newcastle
1 - 1
Brighton
VS
Newcastle
Premier League
The American Express Community Stadium
2024
Mar 2, 2025
Newcastle
VS
Brighton
AET
Newcastle
VS
Brighton
FA Cup
St. James' Park
2024
Oct 19, 2024
Newcastle
VS
Brighton
0 - 1
Newcastle
VS
Brighton
Premier League
St. James' Park
2024
Match Events
Newcastle
Brighton
22'
⚽
A. Isak
Penalty
29'
Tariq Lamptey
Yellow Card
Foul
35'
Adam Webster
Yellow Card
Foul
36'
Joelinton
Yellow Card
Foul
44'
⚽
Y. Minteh
Assist: João Pedro
45'+2
Carlos Baleba
Yellow Card
Foul
56'
⇄
Joelinton
On: Joelinton
Off: J. Willock
Substitution
56'
⇄
L. Miley
On: L. Miley
Off: Bruno Guimarães
Substitution
57'
⇄
H. Barnes
On: H. Barnes
Off: J. Murphy
Substitution
69'
⇄
K. Trippier
On: K. Trippier
Off: M. Targett
Substitution
69'
⇄
Y. Minteh
On: Y. Minteh
Off: B. Gruda
Substitution
69'
⇄
C. Baleba
On: C. Baleba
Off: D. Gómez
Substitution
80'
⇄
P. Estupiñán
On: P. Estupiñán
Off: M. Wieffer
Substitution
80'
⇄
G. Rutter
On: G. Rutter
Off: D. Welbeck
Substitution
83'
Anthony Gordon
Red Card
Violent Conduct
86'
⇄
A. Isak
On: A. Isak
Off: C. Wilson
Substitution
90'+1
Tariq Lamptey
Red Card
Foul
90'+1
Tariq Lamptey
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+1
⇄
K. Mitoma
On: K. Mitoma
Off: S. March
Substitution
90'+5
•
Fabian Schär
Goal Cancelled
92'
Diego Gómez
Yellow Card
Foul
114'
⚽
D. Welbeck
Assist: S. March
Lineups
Newcastle
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
M. Dúbravka
#1
K. Trippier
#2
F. Schär
#5
Joelinton
#7
S. Tonali
#8
A. Gordon
#10
H. Barnes
#11
A. Isak
#14
T. Livramento
#21
D. Burn
#33
L. Miley
#67
Substitutes
F
G
Brighton
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
G
T. Lamptey
#2
A. Webster
#4
João Pedro
#9
G. Rutter
#14
Y. Minteh
#17
C. Baleba
#20
K. Mitoma
#22
J. van Hecke
#29
P. Estupiñán
#30
J. Hinshelwood
#41
Substitutes
M
M
M
M
Match Statistics
Newcastle
Brighton
48%
Possession
52%
15
Shots
21
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Blocked Shots
10
13
Fouls
17
6
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
5
1
Red Cards
1
5
Offsides
0
3
Saves
4
534
Passes
604
441
Accurate Passes
492
83%
Pass Accuracy
81%
Team Comparison
75.4
Overall Strength
65.8
38.2%
Attacking Power
61.8%
79.5%
Defensive Strength
20.5%
56.3%
Current Form
43.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Newcastle
Brighton
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
57%
|
33%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
4.7
Cards Analysis
Newcastle
2/Game
14
0
16-30'
3
31-45'
2
46-60'
7
61-75'
1
76-90'
1
Brighton
2.3/Game
7
0
31-45'
2
46-60'
2
61-75'
2
76-90'
1
Season Comparison
2024/2025
Newcastle
6W 1D 0L
|
13:3
|
2.71 ppg
Brighton
2W 0D 0L
|
9:5
|
2 ppg
2023/2024
Newcastle
1W 2D 0L
|
6:5
|
1.67 ppg
Brighton
1W 0D 0L
|
6:6
|
1 ppg
2022/2023
Newcastle
5W 1D 0L
|
8:4
|
2.29 ppg
Brighton
2W 1D 0L
|
6:1
|
2.33 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
71.8%
Both Teams Score
Yes
70.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Newcastle
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Brighton
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.6% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 88.6% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 88.6% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 78.7% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 73.2% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 71.8% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 71.8% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 70.8% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 65.0% | Fair |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 63.9% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 62.7% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 61.2% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 60.3% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 51.6% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | Yes | 51.0% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | No | 51.0% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 8.4% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.6%
Over 1.5
88.6%
Over 2.5
71.8%
Over 3.5
51.0%
Under 0.5
2.4%
Under 1.5
11.4%
Under 2.5
28.2%
Under 3.5
49.0%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.5%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
20.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
78.7%
Goals After 80'
37.3%
Goals Both Halves
73.2%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
60.3%
Over 11 Corners
36.1%
Home Most Corners
61.2%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
65.0%
Home More Shots
51.6%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
54.2%
Away Exceed xG
52.5%
Total xG Over 2.5
71.8%
High xG Variance
48.6%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.5
Total Cards
5.0